SHW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SHW Report Adjusted Diluted EPS (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$3.56 vs. cons $3.54 MEDIUM
SHW Report Consolidated Net Sales (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$6.62B vs. cons $6.60B MEDIUM
SHW Report Paint Stores Group (PSG) same-store sales growth (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~+1.0% vs. cons +2.5% MEDIUM
SHW Guide FY2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$11.50-$11.90 ($11.70 midpoint) vs. cons $11.72 (FY2026) MEDIUM
SHW Guide FY2026 Consolidated Net Sales growth guidance UNCHANGED guide ~+4.5% (low-to-mid single digit) vs. cons +4.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
SHW Guide FY2026 Raw material cost inflation outlook LOWER guide ~+6% (mid-to-high single digit) vs. prior guide/cons ~+4% low-to-mid single digit (FY2026) MEDIUM
SHW Guide PSG volume/demand trajectory (2H26 commentary) LOWER guide ~+1% low-single-digit vs. cons ~+2% (2H2026) LOW
SHW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
SHW Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Management's own timeline (propylene-driven raw material inflation hitting 'more materially' in Q2/2H) implies analysts must push H2 cost assumptions higher even if Q2 prints roughly in-line; a raised raw-material inflation outlook combined with softening PSG same-store trends (weak existing-home sales, 6.5% mortgage rates) forces sell-side to trim H2/FY26 EPS estimates over the following days, extending an initial negative reaction rather than reversing it. MEDIUM