SO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SO Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.03 vs. cons $1.01 MEDIUM
SO Report Q2 2026 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$7.31B vs. cons $7.25B MEDIUM
SO Report Contracted large-load capacity IN-LINE pred ~14.2 GW vs. cons 14.2 GW HIGH
SO Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$4.55 vs. cons $4.58 (FY2026) HIGH
SO Guide Q3 2026 adjusted EPS estimate LOWER guide ~$1.57 vs. cons $1.59 (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
SO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
SO Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest EPS beat and confirmation of ~14.2 GW contracted load should support the initial reaction, but unchanged FY2026 guidance at ~$4.55 versus $4.58 consensus and a ~$1.57 Q3 estimate versus $1.59 consensus leave limited near-term estimate-revision upside; much of the OpenAI catalyst is already reflected in the stock. MEDIUM