SO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SO Report 2Q26 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.03 vs. cons $1.01 MEDIUM
SO Report 2Q26 weather-normalized retail-sales growth BEAT pred ~3.2% vs. cons 2.6% MEDIUM
SO Report Contracted large-load demand BEAT pred ~12.5 GW vs. cons 12.0 GW LOW
SO Guide 2026 adjusted-EPS guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$4.55 vs. cons $4.55 (FY2026) HIGH
SO Guide 2027 adjusted-EPS guidance midpoint UNCHANGED guide ~$4.90 vs. cons $4.90 (FY2027) HIGH
SO Guide Five-year base capital plan UNCHANGED guide ~$81.0B vs. cons $81.0B (2026-2030) HIGH
SO Guide Remaining equity or equity-equivalent financing need UNCHANGED guide ~$1.8B vs. cons $1.8B (through 2030) MEDIUM
SO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
SO Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A ~$1.03 2Q26 adjusted-EPS result versus $1.01 consensus and ~12.5 GW contracted-load update versus 12.0 GW should support an initial positive reaction, but unchanged $4.55 FY2026 and $4.90 FY2027 guide midpoints limit out-period estimate revisions. MEDIUM