SW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SW Report NA EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$730M vs. cons $696M (+4.9%) MEDIUM
SW Report Group Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,200M vs. cons $1,152M (+4.2%) MEDIUM
SW Report Adj. EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$0.46 vs. cons $0.431 (+6.7%) MEDIUM
SW Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide $5.0-5.3B reaffirmed; midpoint $5.15B vs. cons $5.064B (+1.7%) HIGH
SW Guide Q3 2026 Adj. EBITDA (Q3 2026) [UNVERIFIED cons] LOWER guide ~$1.15-1.25B vs. Q3 2025 actual $1.302B; no Q3 2026 cons available LOW
SW Guide Tone / 2nd price increase commentary BETTER positive confirmation; second $50/ton tracking for Sept implementation MEDIUM
SW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
SW Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE - beat confirmed, FY reaffirmation caps revision upside; modest drift as Q3 guide anchors near-term estimates MEDIUM