SW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SW Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$8.00B vs. cons $7.981B MEDIUM
SW Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.170B vs. cons $1.152B MEDIUM
SW Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$0.450 vs. cons $0.431 MEDIUM
SW Guide FY26 Adjusted EBITDA BETTER guide $5.0B-$5.3B vs. cons $5.064B MEDIUM
SW Guide 3Q26 Adjusted EBITDA LOWER guide ~$1.40B vs. cons $1.419B LOW
SW Guide 2H demand / pricing commentary BETTER constructive demand and price realization MEDIUM
SW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% LOW
SW Return 5-day cumulative residual -6.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — unchanged FY range fails to validate the run LOW