SWKS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
SWKS Report Revenue (Q3 FY26, June q)) BEAT pred ~$940M vs. cons $928M MEDIUM
SWKS Report Non-GAAP EPS (Q3 FY26) BEAT pred ~$1.09 vs. cons $1.05 MEDIUM
SWKS Report Non-GAAP Gross Margin (Q3 FY26) IN-LINE pred ~45.2% vs. cons 45.0% MEDIUM
SWKS Guide Q4 FY26 (Sept) Revenue guide — the real event LOWER guide ~$1.00B vs. cons $1.03B (Q4 FY26, Sept qtr) MEDIUM
SWKS Guide Q4 FY26 Non-GAAP EPS guide LOWER guide ~$1.18 vs. cons $1.24 (Q4 FY26, Sept qtr) MEDIUM
SWKS Guide Q4 FY26 Gross Margin guide UNCHANGED guide ~45.5% vs. cons 46.0% (Q4 FY26, Sept qtr) LOW
SWKS Guide Qorvo merger timing (late-2026 vs early-2027 close) UNKNOWN reiterate ~early-2027 target vs. bull hope ~late-2026 (SAMR Phase 2 / FTC 2nd request pending) MEDIUM
SWKS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.0% LOW
SWKS Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (STABILIZE) SWKS trades as a merger-arb name pinned to QRVO via the 0.960x + $32.50 exchange ratio (~4% spread), which dampens idiosyncratic reaction to the print. A modest June-quarter beat is offset by a soft September (out-period) guide that pulls FY estimates lower, so any day-1 pop mean-reverts and the stock re-anchors to deal probability/timing rather than fundamentals. LOW