TER Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TER Report Q2 Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.25B vs. cons $1.21B MEDIUM
TER Report Q2 Non-GAAP EPS BEAT pred ~$2.15 vs. cons $2.05 MEDIUM
TER Report Q2 Gross Margin IN-LINE pred ~59.0% vs. cons 58.5% MEDIUM
TER Guide Q3 Revenue guide LOWER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons ~$1.12B (2026Q3) MEDIUM
TER Guide Q3 Non-GAAP EPS guide LOWER guide ~$1.78 vs. cons ~$1.88 (2026Q3) MEDIUM
TER Guide FY2026 revenue framing / H2 weighting UNCHANGED reaffirm ~$4.4B, H1-weighted 55-60% vs. implied cons ~$4.4B (FY2026) MEDIUM
TER Guide H2 memory/HBM + Q4 visibility color UNKNOWN guide ~$50M merchant GPU / limited Q4 visibility vs. cons priced for firmer H2 (2026H2) LOW
TER Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% LOW
TER Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) Q2 likely beats and positioning is heavily de-risked (stock -31% from the June 30 peak, -7% into the print), setting up a relief pop on the headline. But the out-period math works against follow-through: the H1-weighted 55-60% framing plus a still-opaque Q4 implies soft sequential Q3/Q4 guides, so sell-side trims out-quarter estimates even after the beat. The initial bounce fades as the 'strong but lumpy, can't see Q4' message reasserts on a high-multiple name. LOW