TKO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TKO Report Q2 2026 revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.560B vs. cons $1.548B MEDIUM
TKO Report Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$652M vs. cons $640M MEDIUM
TKO Report Q2 2026 WWE adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$395M vs. cons $387M MEDIUM
TKO Guide Full-year 2026 revenue guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$5.800B vs. cons $5.794B (FY2026) MEDIUM
TKO Guide Full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint BETTER guide ~$2.290B vs. cons $2.285B (FY2026) LOW
TKO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.2% MEDIUM
TKO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.6% (FADE) A WWE-led EBITDA beat should drive the initial gain, but only a marginal FY2026 guidance increase versus consensus leaves limited room for out-period estimate revisions; UFC event mix, LA28 spending and World Cup working-capital complexity should cause part of the day-1 move to fade. MEDIUM