TKO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TKO Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.82 vs. cons $1.72 MEDIUM
TKO Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.76B vs. cons $1.54B HIGH
TKO Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$690M vs. cons $660M MEDIUM
TKO Guide Full-year revenue guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.725B vs. cons $5.725B (FY2026) HIGH
TKO Guide Full-year Adjusted EBITDA guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$2.265B vs. cons $2.265B (FY2026) HIGH
TKO Guide UFC Freedom 250 loss commentary UNCHANGED guide ~($30M) vs. cons ~($30M) (2Q2026) HIGH
TKO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
TKO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (FADE) A WWE- and World Cup-led quarterly beat should produce an initial positive reaction, but unchanged FY2026 revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guide (~$5.725B and ~$2.265B) implies limited out-period estimate upside after the quarter; investors will also look through the known ~($30M) Freedom 250 drag and event-timing benefits. MEDIUM