TKO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-03

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TKO Report Net revenue BEAT pred ~$1.546B vs. cons $1.530B MEDIUM
TKO Report Adjusted EBITDA IN-LINE pred ~$642M vs. cons $636M MEDIUM
TKO Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.10 vs. cons $1.082 MEDIUM
TKO Guide FY26 revenue UNCHANGED guide $5.675B-$5.775B vs. cons $5.766B MEDIUM
TKO Guide FY26 adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide $2.240B-$2.290B vs. cons $2.273B MEDIUM
TKO Guide FY26 margin / FCF / FIP commentary UNCHANGED reiterate margin expansion and normalized FCF conversion >60%; consensus UNVERIFIED LOW
TKO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.0% LOW
TKO Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — implicit H2 cut should pressure revisions LOW