TROW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TROW Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.66 vs. cons $2.52 MEDIUM
TROW Report Net revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.94B vs. cons $1.92B MEDIUM
TROW Report Investment advisory effective fee rate, excluding performance fees IN-LINE pred ~38.1 bps vs. cons 38.2 bps MEDIUM
TROW Guide Adjusted operating-expense growth, excluding carried-interest compensation LOWER guide ~4.0% midpoint vs. cons 4.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TROW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.2% MEDIUM
TROW Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) The initial EPS beat should be supported by higher average AUM and expense discipline, but fee-rate compression means FY2026 EPS revisions of roughly +1.5% likely trail the approximately +5.6% quarterly EPS surprise, producing a partial fade. MEDIUM