TROW Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-31

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TROW Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$2.76 vs. cons $2.70 MEDIUM
TROW Report Investment advisory fees IN-LINE pred ~$1.76B vs. cons $1.75B MEDIUM
TROW Report Annualized effective fee rate excluding performance fees MISS pred ~37.6 bps vs. cons 38.1 bps MEDIUM
TROW Guide FY2026 adjusted operating-expense growth excluding accrued carried-interest compensation UNCHANGED guide ~4.5% vs. cons 4.5% (FY2026) HIGH
TROW Guide FY2026 adjusted effective tax rate UNCHANGED guide ~24.5% vs. cons 24.5% (FY2026) HIGH
TROW Guide Q3 net-flow trajectory excluding large institutional mandates LOWER guide ~($10.0)B vs. cons ~($6.0)B (Q3 2026) LOW
TROW Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
TROW Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH: adjusted EPS ~ $2.76 vs. cons $2.70 is outweighed by fee-rate pressure at ~37.6 bps vs. cons 38.1 bps, implying FY2026 EPS revisions toward ~$10.85 vs. preprint cons ~$11.05. MEDIUM