TXT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TXT Report Q2 2026 adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.58 vs. cons $1.54 MEDIUM
TXT Report Q2 2026 Textron Aviation segment margin BEAT pred ~11.2% vs. cons 11.0% MEDIUM
TXT Report Q2 2026 Bell segment margin MISS pred ~7.7% vs. cons 7.9% MEDIUM
TXT Guide Adjusted EPS guidance LOWER guide ~$6.50 midpoint vs. cons $6.60 (FY2026) HIGH
TXT Guide Revenue guidance LOWER guide ~$15.5B vs. cons $15.6B (FY2026) HIGH
TXT Guide Manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions UNCHANGED guide ~$750M midpoint vs. cons $750M (FY2026) MEDIUM
TXT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.3% MEDIUM
TXT Return 5-day cumulative residual -3.6% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest Q2 EPS beat of ~$1.58 vs. $1.54 consensus is outweighed by Bell margin pressure and an unchanged FY2026 EPS midpoint of ~$6.50 vs. $6.60 consensus. The resulting dependence on a strong second half, plus unresolved MV-75 funding and charge timing, should drive modest estimate reductions after the initial reaction. MEDIUM