TXT Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
TXT Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.70 vs. cons $1.59 MEDIUM
TXT Report Textron Aviation segment margin BEAT pred ~12.1% vs. cons 11.8% MEDIUM
TXT Report Bell segment margin MISS pred ~7.6% vs. cons 7.9% MEDIUM
TXT Guide FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$6.40-$6.60 vs. cons $6.54 (FY2026) HIGH
TXT Guide FY2026 manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$700-$800M vs. cons $750M (FY2026) MEDIUM
TXT Guide FY2026 Bell segment-margin outlook UNCHANGED guide ~8.0%-9.0% vs. cons 8.5% (FY2026) MEDIUM
TXT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
TXT Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.2% (FADE) EPS and Aviation-margin upside should support an initial ~2.5% residual gain, but unchanged ~$6.40-$6.60 FY2026 EPS guidance versus ~$6.54 consensus and a ~7.6% Bell margin versus ~7.9% consensus leave out-period estimates largely unchanged; the initial move fades toward ~1.2% by day five. MEDIUM