{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.70 vs. cons $1.59",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Textron Aviation segment margin",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~12.1% vs. cons 11.8%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Bell segment margin",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~7.6% vs. cons 7.9%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 adjusted EPS guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$6.40-$6.60 vs. cons $6.54 (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 manufacturing cash flow before pension contributions guidance",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$700-$800M vs. cons $750M (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Bell segment-margin outlook",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~8.0%-9.0% vs. cons 8.5% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 2.5,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 1.2,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "EPS and Aviation-margin upside should support an initial ~2.5% residual gain, but unchanged ~$6.40-$6.60 FY2026 EPS guidance versus ~$6.54 consensus and a ~7.6% Bell margin versus ~7.9% consensus leave out-period estimates largely unchanged; the initial move fades toward ~1.2% by day five.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}