UPS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UPS Report Adjusted diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.66 vs. cons $1.61 MEDIUM
UPS Report Consolidated revenue BEAT pred ~$21.65B vs. cons $21.42B MEDIUM
UPS Report U.S. Domestic adjusted operating margin IN-LINE pred ~8.0% vs. cons 8.0% HIGH
UPS Guide FY26 consolidated revenue outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$89.7B vs. cons $89.7B (FY26) HIGH
UPS Guide FY26 consolidated adjusted operating-margin outlook UNCHANGED guide ~9.6% vs. cons 9.6% (FY26) HIGH
UPS Guide FY26 adjusted diluted EPS outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$6.10 vs. cons $6.06 (FY26) MEDIUM
UPS Guide 2H26 U.S. Domestic revenue-per-piece versus cost-per-piece spread BETTER guide ~+0.75% spread vs. cons +0.50% spread (2H26 exit rate) MEDIUM
UPS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.0% MEDIUM
UPS Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) A ~$1.66 EPS result versus $1.61 consensus and ~$21.65B revenue versus $21.42B should create an initial positive reaction, but maintaining ~$89.7B revenue versus $89.7B consensus and 9.6% margin versus 9.6% consensus leaves limited upward FY26 estimate revision. MEDIUM