UPS Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-28

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
UPS Report U.S. Domestic Operating Margin (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~8.1% vs. cons 7.76% MEDIUM
UPS Report Revenue Per Piece - U.S. Domestic (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$14.20 vs. cons $14.16 MEDIUM
UPS Report International Operating Margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~13.5% vs. cons 13.40% MEDIUM
UPS Guide FY 2026 Revenue (FY2026) LOWER guide ~$89.7B (reaffirm) vs. cons $90.4B HIGH
UPS Guide FY 2026 Operating Margin (FY2026) BETTER guide ~9.6% (reaffirm) vs. cons 9.49% HIGH
UPS Guide FY 2026 Adj. EPS (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$7.11 (reaffirm) vs. cons $7.12 HIGH
UPS Guide Q3 2026 U.S. Domestic Margin (3Q2026) BETTER guide ~8.5-9.5% vs. cons ~7.6% MEDIUM
UPS Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.5% MEDIUM
UPS Return 5-day cumulative residual -1.5% (FADE) FADE - sell-side trims H2 revenue estimates on FY guide below consensus; structural margin improvement story limits the damage MEDIUM