VLO Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-30

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
VLO Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$10.35 vs. cons $10.00 MEDIUM
VLO Report Refining segment operating income (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$4.25B vs. cons $4.05B MEDIUM
VLO Report Refining throughput (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~2.80M bpd vs. cons 2.79M bpd HIGH
VLO Guide Refining throughput guidance BETTER guide ~2.90M bpd vs. cons 2.88M bpd (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
VLO Guide Refining cash operating expense guidance BETTER guide ~$4.75/bbl vs. cons $4.78/bbl (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
VLO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.4% MEDIUM
VLO Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.3% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Constructive Q3 throughput and margin-capture commentary should lift out-period estimates: modeled Q3 throughput of ~2.90M bpd versus consensus 2.88M bpd supports positive revisions after the Q2 beat, although the stock's pre-earnings rally limits upside. MEDIUM