| VMC |
Report |
Adjusted Diluted EPS |
IN-LINE |
pred ~$2.52 vs. cons $2.54 |
MEDIUM |
| VMC |
Report |
Aggregates Shipments (tons) |
BEAT |
pred ~61.0M tons vs. cons ~60.0M tons |
MEDIUM |
| VMC |
Report |
Aggregates Freight-Adjusted Price/Ton |
BEAT |
pred ~$23.60/ton vs. cons ~$23.30/ton |
MEDIUM |
| VMC |
Guide |
FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$2.5B (midpoint of $2.4-2.6B) vs. cons ~$2.50B (FY2026) |
HIGH |
| VMC |
Guide |
FY2026 Aggregates Pricing Growth (freight-adjusted) |
BETTER |
guide ~7% full-year growth vs. cons ~5% (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| VMC |
Guide |
Diesel/Cost Headwind Trajectory (H2 moderation commentary) |
UNKNOWN |
guide ~$25M Q2 hit fully absorbed, cash cost growth moderating to mid-single-digits vs. cons assumption of continued high-single-digit cost growth into H2 (FY2026) |
LOW |
| VMC |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+1.2% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| VMC |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-0.6% (FADE) |
Stock already rallied ~13% off its July 23 low into the print (275→288), pricing in a clean quarter; a reaffirmed (not raised) full-year EBITDA guide despite a Q2 pricing/volume beat, combined with lingering 'sticky' diesel cost commentary and no incremental M&A/data-center specifics, likely caps upward estimate revisions and prompts partial profit-taking after the initial pop, consistent with implicit out-period math not improving enough to sustain follow-through. |
LOW |