VMC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
VMC Report Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$2.54 vs. cons $2.50 MEDIUM
VMC Report Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.15B vs. cons $2.16B HIGH
VMC Report Aggregates segment gross profit (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$575M vs. cons $568M MEDIUM
VMC Guide Adjusted EBITDA UNCHANGED guide ~$2.50B midpoint vs. cons $2.484B (FY2026) HIGH
VMC Guide Aggregates shipment growth UNCHANGED guide ~2.0% midpoint vs. cons 2.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
VMC Guide Freight-adjusted aggregates price growth UNCHANGED guide ~5.0% midpoint vs. cons 5.0% (FY2026) MEDIUM
VMC Guide Aggregates unit cash-cost inflation BETTER guide ~3.0% vs. cons 3.5% (FY2026) LOW
VMC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.3% MEDIUM
VMC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest Q2 operating beat supports an initial positive reaction, but an unchanged ~$2.50B FY2026 EBITDA midpoint versus ~$2.484B consensus provides limited out-period upside; only small Q3/Q4 estimate revisions are likely, causing most of the day-1 gain to fade. LOW