{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EPS (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.54 vs. cons $2.50",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Revenue (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.15B vs. cons $2.16B",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Aggregates segment gross profit (Q2 2026)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$575M vs. cons $568M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$2.50B midpoint vs. cons $2.484B (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Aggregates shipment growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~2.0% midpoint vs. cons 2.0% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Freight-adjusted aggregates price growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~5.0% midpoint vs. cons 5.0% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Aggregates unit cash-cost inflation",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~3.0% vs. cons 3.5% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "LOW"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 1.3,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 0.4,
  "day5_path": "FADE",
  "day5_rationale": "A modest Q2 operating beat supports an initial positive reaction, but an unchanged ~$2.50B FY2026 EBITDA midpoint versus ~$2.484B consensus provides limited out-period upside; only small Q3/Q4 estimate revisions are likely, causing most of the day-1 gain to fade.",
  "day5_confidence": "LOW"
}