{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$650M vs. cons ~$670M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Adjusted diluted EPS from continuing operations",
      "prediction": "MISS",
      "answer": "pred ~$2.35 vs. cons ~$2.45",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Aggregates freight-adjusted sales price per ton",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "pred ~$22.95/ton vs. cons ~$23.00/ton",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 Adjusted EBITDA",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$2.50B midpoint vs. cons ~$2.50B midpoint (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 aggregates shipment growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~2.0% growth vs. cons ~2.0% growth (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 aggregates cash-cost growth",
      "prediction": "LOWER",
      "answer": "guide ~4.0% growth vs. cons ~3.0% growth (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": -3.5,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": -5.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "A modest EBITDA and EPS miss with maintained ~$2.50B FY2026 midpoint leaves roughly ~$1.40B of second-half Adjusted EBITDA needed versus consensus ~ $1.36B; the implied back-half step-up and above-consensus ~4.0% cash-cost growth should pull out-period estimates lower even if management does not formally cut guidance.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}