VMC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
VMC Report Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$620M vs. cons $646M MEDIUM
VMC Report Agg. Cash GP/Ton (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~$11.55 vs. cons $11.85 MEDIUM
VMC Report Agg. Shipments (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~60.5M tons vs. cons 60.1M tons MEDIUM
VMC Guide Adj. EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide $2.4-$2.6B maintained vs. cons $2.459B MEDIUM
VMC Guide Agg. Pricing Trajectory (FY 2026) UNCHANGED back-half acceleration confirmed, mid-single-digit vs. cons ~4-5% MEDIUM
VMC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.5% MEDIUM
VMC Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) FADE - Q2 miss forces H2 estimate cuts within 2-3 days; Day-1 short-covering pop fades as Street revises FY EBITDA from $2.46B toward ~$2.38-2.41B MEDIUM