WEC Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WEC Report Q2 2026 EPS IN-LINE pred ~$0.80 vs. cons ~$0.79 MEDIUM
WEC Report Q2 2026 Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$1.98B vs. cons ~$1.96B LOW
WEC Report Weather-normal retail electric deliveries YoY IN-LINE pred ~+1.5% vs. cons ~+1.4% LOW
WEC Guide FY2026 EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$5.51–$5.61 (mid $5.56) vs. cons ~$5.57 (FY2026) HIGH
WEC Guide Long-term EPS CAGR UNCHANGED guide ~7–8% vs. cons ~7.5% (2026–2030) HIGH
WEC Guide 5-yr capital plan / data-center capex signal UNKNOWN guide ~$37.5B (hold, raise deferred to Q3) vs. cons ~$38B (2026–2030 plan) MEDIUM
WEC Guide Wisconsin VLC tariff written order confirmation BETTER guide ROE ~10.48–10.98%, 57% equity vs. cons ~10.7% ROE assumption (final order H2'26) MEDIUM
WEC Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.4% LOW
WEC Return 5-day cumulative residual -0.3% (STABILIZE) Low-beta regulated utility with a seasonally small Q2 print and a reaffirmed FY guide leaves out-period estimates essentially unchanged — no revision impulse in either direction. The real catalyst (fall capital-plan upsize + hyperscaler announcements) is explicitly deferred to the Q3 call, so absent a weather-driven surprise the residual drifts near flat and mean-reverts around the sector; slightly soft pre-print sentiment caps upside. LOW