WM Earnings Predictions — 2026-07-29

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
WM Report Operating EBITDA (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~$2.05B vs. cons $2.032B MEDIUM
WM Report Volume Growth (Q2 2026) MISS pred ~-0.6% vs. cons -0.14% MEDIUM
WM Report WMHS Revenue (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred flat to slightly positive YoY vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
WM Guide FY 2026 Operating EBITDA (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$8.15-8.25B midpoint $8.20B vs. cons $8.202B MEDIUM
WM Guide FY 2026 Volume Growth (FY 2026) LOWER guide ~0% to +0.3% vs. cons +0.57% MEDIUM
WM Guide FY 2026 FCF (FY 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$3.87B vs. cons $3.868B HIGH
WM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +0.5% MEDIUM
WM Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.0% (FADE) FADE - sell-side cuts Q3/Q4 revenue on volume guide lower even as FY EBITDA holds; same pattern as Q1 2026 day+5 -3.0% but shallower given wildfire comp now fully lapped MEDIUM