ABNB Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ABNB Report Revenue IN-LINE pred ~$3.600B vs. cons $3.579B MEDIUM
ABNB Report GBV IN-LINE pred ~$26.700B vs. cons $26.478B MEDIUM
ABNB Report Nights & Experiences Booked IN-LINE pred ~146.8M vs. cons 145.739M MEDIUM
ABNB Guide Q3 2026 Revenue UNCHANGED guide ~$4.60-4.66B vs. cons $4.602B LOW
ABNB Guide FY26 Revenue Growth UNCHANGED reaffirm low to mid-teens vs. FY revenue cons $13.964B LOW
ABNB Guide FY26 Adjusted EBITDA Margin UNCHANGED reaffirm at least 35% vs. 35.4% implied consensus margin LOW
ABNB Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.0% LOW
ABNB Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — F-archetype recovery pattern LOW