ADM Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ADM Report Adjusted EPS (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$1.45 vs. cons $1.35 MEDIUM
ADM Report Ag Services & Oilseeds segment operating profit (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$575M vs. cons ~$540M LOW
ADM Report Nutrition segment operating profit (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$152M vs. cons ~$150M MEDIUM
ADM Guide Adjusted EPS guidance midpoint LOWER guide ~$4.70 vs. cons $4.76 (FY2026) MEDIUM
ADM Guide Implied second-half adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$2.54 vs. cons ~$2.70 (2026H2) MEDIUM
ADM Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -2.5% MEDIUM
ADM Return 5-day cumulative residual -4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The Q2 beat is driven partly by MTM reversals, while FY2026 guidance of ~$4.70 versus consensus $4.76 implies only ~$2.54 of 2026H2 EPS versus consensus ~$2.70; resulting Q3/Q4 estimate cuts should extend the initial weakness. MEDIUM