AFL Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AFL Report Adjusted diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$1.77 vs. cons $1.765 LOW
AFL Report Japan new premiums IN-LINE pred ~¥20.80B vs. cons ¥20.96B LOW
AFL Report U.S. new premiums BEAT pred ~$359M vs. cons $354.8M LOW
AFL Guide Japan benefit ratio (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~60%-63% vs. cons 61.67% LOW
AFL Guide U.S. benefit ratio (FY26) LOWER guide ~48%-52% vs. cons 49.36% LOW
AFL Guide Japan sales commentary (FY26) UNCHANGED guide ~¥80B vs. cons ¥79.00B LOW
AFL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% LOW
AFL Return 5-day cumulative residual -2.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — in-line EPS plus maintained ranges LOW