AIG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AIG Report Adjusted after-tax income per diluted share BEAT pred ~$1.74 vs. cons $1.67 MEDIUM
AIG Report General Insurance accident-year combined ratio, as adjusted BEAT pred ~87.8% vs. cons 88.8% MEDIUM
AIG Report General Insurance net investment income BEAT pred ~$885M vs. cons $860M MEDIUM
AIG Guide General Insurance net premiums written growth UNCHANGED guide ~14% vs. cons 14% (FY2026) HIGH
AIG Guide Operating EPS CAGR UNCHANGED guide ~>20% vs. cons ~20% (2025-2027) MEDIUM
AIG Guide Other Operations net investment income and other LOWER guide ~$25M vs. cons $35M (3Q2026) MEDIUM
AIG Guide Corebridge ownership / expected monetization BETTER guide ~0% vs. cons 1% (FY2026 exit timing) MEDIUM
AIG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.8% MEDIUM
AIG Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.6% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest EPS and underwriting beat should be reinforced by unchanged FY2026 NPW growth of ~14% versus ~14% consensus and continued >20% 2025-2027 operating-EPS CAGR guidance versus ~20% consensus; the favorable margin/earned-premium mix and faster Corebridge monetization should support out-period estimates despite a modestly lower ~$25M versus $35M 3Q Other Operations income outlook. MEDIUM