AIG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AIG Report Combined Ratio — General Insurance BEAT pred ~88.8% vs. cons 90.23% HIGH
AIG Report Net Premiums Written — General Insurance BEAT pred ~$7.85B vs. cons $7.61B MEDIUM
AIG Report Operating EPS (Diluted) BEAT pred ~$1.97 vs. cons $1.90 MEDIUM
AIG Guide FY 2026 NPW Growth — General Insurance (FY2026) BETTER guide 'mid-teens' vs. cons ~+10% implied ($26.79B) MEDIUM
AIG Guide FY 2026 Operating EPS — implicit via Investor Day reaffirm (FY2026) BETTER guide implied ~$8.05-8.10 vs. cons $7.98 MEDIUM
AIG Guide FY 2026 Combined Ratio — General Insurance (FY2026) UNCHANGED guide reaffirm sub-90% vs. cons 90.14% HIGH
AIG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
AIG Return 5-day cumulative residual +2.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — quality underwriting beat supports follow-through; H2 implied math (H2 2026 ~$3.90 vs. H2 2025 $4.17) limits upside as sell-side re-models MEDIUM