| ALB |
Report |
Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) |
BEAT |
pred ~$3.75 vs. cons ~$3.20 |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Report |
Net Sales/Revenue (Q2'26) |
BEAT |
pred ~$1.68B vs. cons ~$1.59B |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Report |
Adjusted EBITDA (Q2'26) |
BEAT |
pred ~$740M vs. cons ~$675M |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Guide |
FY2026 EBITDA scenario framework (full-year) |
LOWER |
guide ~$2.0-2.2B vs. cons ~$2.4-2.6B (FY2026, tied to $20/kg scenario) |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Guide |
Energy Storage segment EBITDA margin (Q3'26 outlook) |
LOWER |
guide ~high-20s% vs. cons ~mid-30s% (Q3 2026) |
LOW |
| ALB |
Guide |
FY2026 Capex |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~$550-600M vs. cons ~$575M (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+3.0% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| ALB |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
-1.5% (FADE) |
Trailing Q2 beat (still capturing elevated spot pricing through most of the quarter) drives an initial relief pop given how oversold ALB is (-44% off highs) and how far below Street price targets it trades. But management's narrowing/lowering of the FY26 lithium-price scenario framework toward the $10-15/kg range post-Jianxiawo restart forces analysts to cut FY26/27 EBITDA and EPS estimates in the days following the print, offsetting the beat via out-period math and causing the initial pop to fade over the week as sell-side models catch down to the lower realized/forward lithium price. |
LOW |