ALL Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ALL Report Operating diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$6.15 vs. cons $6.03 LOW
ALL Report Adjusted combined ratio ex-cats/reserves IN-LINE pred ~80.4% vs. cons 80.77% LOW
ALL Report Net investment income - Allstate Protection BEAT pred ~$790M vs. cons $768M LOW
ALL Guide Auto pricing / margin posture (2H26) UNCHANGED guide ~selective price reductions within mid-90s auto CR target; no numerical Street guide LOW
ALL Guide Homeowners growth / underwriting (2H26) UNCHANGED guide ~profitable growth within low-90s reported CR target; no numerical Street guide LOW
ALL Guide Capital return (2H26) UNCHANGED guide ~continue $4B authorization; no numerical Street guide LOW
ALL Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -0.5% LOW
ALL Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.5% (FADE) FADE — modest beat likely sells first on elevated expectations, then stabilizes LOW