AMD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AMD Report Q2 2026 revenue BEAT pred ~$11.48B vs. cons $11.30B MEDIUM
AMD Report Q2 2026 Data Center revenue BEAT pred ~$6.76B vs. cons $6.65B MEDIUM
AMD Report Q2 2026 non-GAAP gross margin IN-LINE pred ~56.2% vs. cons 56.0% MEDIUM
AMD Guide Revenue BETTER guide ~$12.8B vs. cons $12.5B (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
AMD Guide Non-GAAP gross margin LOWER guide ~56.0% vs. cons 56.3% (Q3 2026) MEDIUM
AMD Guide Implied revenue from Helios ramp commentary LOWER guide ~$15.4B vs. cons $15.7B (Q4 2026) LOW
AMD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% LOW
AMD Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) The Q3 revenue guide of ~$12.8B vs. $12.5B supports the initial move, but implied Q4 revenue of ~$15.4B vs. $15.7B and Q3 gross margin of ~56.0% vs. 56.3% limit estimate revisions and cause part of the day-1 gain to fade. LOW