AMD Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AMD Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$11.42B vs. cons $11.30B MEDIUM
AMD Report Non-GAAP diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.68 vs. cons $1.63 MEDIUM
AMD Report Data Center revenue BEAT pred ~$6.75B vs. cons $6.62B MEDIUM
AMD Guide 3Q26 revenue BETTER guide ~$12.05B vs. cons $11.92B (2026Q3) MEDIUM
AMD Guide 3Q26 non-GAAP gross margin LOWER guide ~55.5% vs. cons 55.8% (2026Q3) MEDIUM
AMD Guide 4Q26 Helios/MI450 Data Center AI revenue ramp commentary LOWER guide ~$1.05B vs. cons $1.25B (2026Q4) LOW
AMD Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.5% MEDIUM
AMD Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) A ~$11.42B reported-revenue beat versus $11.30B consensus and a ~$12.05B 3Q26 guide versus $11.92B should support an initial positive reaction, but a ~55.5% 3Q gross-margin outlook versus 55.8% consensus and a more measured ~$1.05B 4Q Helios ramp versus $1.25B expected leave 2027 AI-revenue and profitability estimates vulnerable to modest downward revisions. MEDIUM