AMETEK, Inc. (AME) — Q2 2026 Earnings Preview

Ticker

AME

Earnings Date

August 4, 2026 (8:30 AM ET)

Reporting Period

Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026)

Prepared

August 3, 2026

Sector

Industrials — Specialty Industrial Machinery

Benchmark ETF

XLI (Industrial Select Sector SPDR)

1. Earnings Preview

Key Takeaway: Setup leans toward a beat — consensus sits at the low end of management's Q2 guidance range, the record $3.87B backlog provides strong revenue visibility, and the Indicor acquisition adds incremental EPS contribution not fully reflected in street estimates; the biggest swing factor is whether organic orders sustained their Q1 momentum through June or showed any deceleration.

The bar heading into Q2 is manageable: consensus adjusted EPS of ~$1.996 sits near the midpoint of management's $1.96–$2.00 guidance range, and revenue consensus of ~$1.959B implies high-single-digit growth consistent with the company's own outlook. Management's tone on the Q1 call was notably confident — record orders of $2.2B (up 23% YoY, organic +22%), a record backlog of $3.87B, and a full-year EPS raise to $7.94–$8.14 all signaled strong execution momentum. Estimate revisions have been essentially flat since the Q1 print (Q2 EPS moved from $1.994 to $1.996 over the past 12 weeks), suggesting the street has largely digested the guidance raise without adding incremental optimism — a setup that historically favors upside surprises for AMETEK. The stock has traded roughly in line with XLI since the April 30 earnings date (+3.4% vs. +4.9% for XLI through August 1), implying the market has not pre-priced a significant beat. The key wildcard is the Indicor Instrumentation acquisition: announced May 6 and financed with $7.5B in new credit facilities secured June 9, the deal's closing timeline and any preliminary financial contribution could surprise the market, while the associated leverage step-up (from ~1x to potentially 3–4x gross debt/EBITDA) will be a focus for investors assessing the balance sheet impact on future M&A capacity.

2. KPIs & Consensus Expectations

Key Takeaway: Consensus is a low-to-moderate bar — estimates sit near the midpoint of guidance and have barely moved since the Q1 print, leaving room for upside. Orders and organic growth are the bigger swing factors; a repeat of Q1’s record order momentum would be the most powerful positive catalyst, while any deceleration would pressure the stock despite an EPS beat.

Table 1 — Q2 2026 Current Quarter Snapshot

KPI

Q1 2026 Actual

Q2 2025 Actual (Prior Year)

Q2 2026 Consensus Estimate

YoY Change

Q2 2026 Guidance

Consensus vs. Guidance Midpoint

Net Sales ($B)

$1.928B

$1.778B

$1.959B

+10.2%

Up high single digits YoY

~+1% above implied midpoint

Adj. EPS (Diluted excl. amort.)

$1.97

$1.78

$1.996

+12.1%

$1.96–$2.00

~0% (at midpoint of $1.98)

Organic Growth (%)

+5.1%

-0.1%

~+5.0%

+~500 bps

Mid-single digits

~In line

Orders ($B)

$2.218B (record)

$1.782B

$1.989B

+11.6%

Not guided explicitly

N/A

Operating Margin — Operating (%)

26.8%

26.0%

~26.8%

+~80 bps

~30 bps expansion (FY)

~In line

Free Cash Flow ($M)

$426M

$330M

$479M

+45.2%

110–115% FCF conversion (FY)

N/A (quarterly)

Sources: Visible Alpha Consensus and Actuals Data — Net Sales, Adj. EPS, Organic Growth, Orders, Operating Margin, Free Cash Flow. Q2 2026 guidance from AME Q1 2026 Earnings Call (April 30, 2026).

Table 2 — Beat/Miss History: Last 8 Quarters (Top 2 KPIs: Adj. EPS & Net Sales)

Quarter

KPI

Reported

Consensus

Surprise %

Result

Q1 2026

Adj. EPS

$1.97

$1.907

+3.3%

Beat

Q1 2026

Net Sales

$1.928B

$1.916B

+0.6%

Beat

Q4 2025

Adj. EPS

$2.01

$1.947

+3.2%

Beat

Q4 2025

Net Sales

$1.998B

$1.950B

+2.5%

Beat

Q3 2025

Adj. EPS

$1.89

$1.760

+7.4%

Beat

Q3 2025

Net Sales

$1.893B

$1.815B

+4.3%

Beat

Q2 2025

Adj. EPS

$1.78

$1.673

+6.4%

Beat

Q2 2025

Net Sales

$1.778B

$1.730B

+2.8%

Beat

Q1 2025

Adj. EPS

$1.75

$1.690

+3.6%

Beat

Q1 2025

Net Sales

$1.732B

$1.744B

-0.7%

Miss

Q4 2024

Adj. EPS

$1.87

$1.852

+1.0%

Beat

Q4 2024

Net Sales

$1.762B

$1.827B

-3.5%

Miss

Q3 2024

Adj. EPS

$1.66

$1.616

+2.7%

Beat

Q3 2024

Net Sales

$1.709B

$1.707B

+0.1%

Beat

Pattern: AMETEK has beaten adjusted EPS consensus in 7 of the last 8 quarters, with an average positive surprise of ~+3.5%; the one revenue miss (Q1 2025) coincided with the trough of the industrial cycle and is not representative of the current demand environment. The consistent beat pattern, combined with management’s historically conservative guidance, supports a bias toward upside on the Q2 print.

Sources: Visible Alpha Consensus and Actuals Data.

Table 3 — Guidance vs. Estimate Revision Tracker

Key Takeaway: Estimates have been remarkably stable since the Q1 print — Q2 EPS moved only +$0.002 and revenue barely changed — suggesting the street has not added incremental optimism beyond management’s guidance. This flat revision trajectory is a cushion, not a risk: any organic order or margin upside would likely drive meaningful estimate upgrades post-print.

KPI (Period)

Estimate at Last Earnings +5 Days (May 7, 2026)

Current Consensus (Aug 3, 2026)

Estimate Δ (%)

Initial Guidance (Q1 Earnings Call)

Current Guidance

Guidance Δ

Consensus vs. Guidance Midpoint

Adj. EPS — Q2 2026

$1.994

$1.996

+0.1%

$1.96–$2.00

Unchanged

~0% (at midpoint)

Net Sales — Q2 2026

$1.958B

$1.959B

+0.1%

Up high single digits YoY

Unchanged

~+1% above implied midpoint

Adj. EPS — FY 2026

$8.155

$8.158

+0.0%

$7.94–$8.14

Unchanged (raised from $7.87–$8.07 at Q1)

+$0.12 above midpoint ($8.04)

Net Sales — FY 2026

$8.024B

$8.026B

+0.0%

Up high single digits YoY

Unchanged

N/A (qualitative guide)

Sources: Visible Alpha Consensus and Actuals Data (revision history weekly series, May 8 – August 3, 2026). FY 2026 consensus of $8.158 sits above the guidance midpoint of $8.04, consistent with the street embedding a modest beat assumption into the full-year number.

3. Guidance & Commentary Evolution

Key Takeaway: Guidance has been raised once since the last earnings call (full-year EPS lifted to $7.94–$8.14 from $7.87–$8.07 on April 30) and has not been revised since; the only material post-earnings development is the transformative Indicor acquisition announced May 6, which will require updated guidance on the Q2 call. Management tone remains confident but deliberately prudent given geopolitical uncertainty.

Metric

Initial Guidance (Q1 2026 Earnings Call, April 30, 2026)

Revised Guidance

Current Consensus

Note

Q2 2026 Adj. EPS

$1.96–$2.00 per share (+10–12% YoY)

— (unchanged)

$1.996

Consensus at midpoint; no post-earnings revision to Q2 guide

Q2 2026 Revenue

Up high single digits YoY

— (unchanged)

$1.959B (+10.2% YoY)

Consensus slightly above implied midpoint of guidance

FY 2026 Adj. EPS

$7.94–$8.14 (+7–10% YoY); raised from $7.87–$8.07

— (unchanged post-Q1)

$8.158

↑ Raised at Q1 earnings (April 30); Indicor acquisition may require further update on Q2 call

FY 2026 Organic Sales Growth

Mid-single digits (raised from low-to-mid)

— (unchanged)

~5.2%

↑ Raised at Q1 earnings; Process segment guide lifted to low-to-mid single digits

A&D Organic Growth (FY 2026)

~10% (raised from high single digits)

— (unchanged)

N/A (not separately tracked)

↑ Raised at Q1 earnings; balanced commercial/defense activity

FY 2026 FCF Conversion

110–115% of net income

— (unchanged)

N/A

Unchanged; Indicor financing may affect near-term FCF profile

Indicor Acquisition Impact

Not in original guidance (announced May 6)

Pending — expected on Q2 call

Not yet in consensus

↑ New: $7.5B credit facilities secured June 9; deal expected to close; EPS/revenue impact TBD

4. Stock Performance Since Last Earnings (April 30 – August 3, 2026)

Key Takeaway: AME has lagged XLI since the Q1 earnings print despite strong fundamental execution, suggesting the market is applying a modest discount for Indicor acquisition uncertainty and leverage step-up; the 12-month +31.9% gain was driven predominantly by multiple expansion (+15.8% on EV/EBITDA), not earnings growth alone.

Period

AME

XLI (Industrial ETF)

SPY (S&P 500)

AME vs. XLI

Since Q1 Earnings (Apr 30 – Aug 3)

+3.5%

+4.9%

+5.4%

-1.4%

1 Month

+3.9%

N/A

N/A

N/A

3 Month

+5.8%

N/A

N/A

N/A

12 Month

+31.9%

N/A

N/A

N/A

Source: Stock Price Data (Yahoo Finance). Indexed to April 30, 2026 close (AME: $235.50, XLI: $174.58, SPY: $718.66). August 3, 2026 close: AME $241.71, XLI $179.84, SPY $747.03.

Performance Narrative: AME opened the post-earnings period strongly, rallying to $241 by May 6 on the Indicor acquisition announcement, then pulled back to a trough of ~$221 by May 19 as the market digested the scale of the deal and associated leverage. The stock recovered through June, reaching a new high of ~$242 by June 30, before consolidating in the $231–$244 range through July. The 12-month performance decomposition shows that ~15.8% of the +31.9% total return came from EV/EBITDA multiple expansion (from 18.1x to 21.0x NTM), with the remainder from earnings growth — suggesting the stock is not cheap heading into the print at ~31x NTM P/E. Key events during the period: (1) May 6: Indicor acquisition announced; (2) May 8: Nick Stanage appointed independent director; (3) June 9/12: $7.5B credit facilities secured (revolving credit expanded to $3.5B + $4.0B term loan), replacing bridge financing.

5. Material News & Developments Since Q1 Earnings (April 30, 2026)

Key Takeaway: The Indicor acquisition is the dominant development — it is transformative in scale, materially changes the balance sheet, and will require updated guidance on the Q2 call; investors will focus on deal timing, leverage trajectory, and whether the acquisition is accretive to the FY 2026 EPS range.

6. Insider Transaction Activity

Key Takeaway: Insider activity since the Q1 earnings print is minimal and unremarkable — one routine disposition by the CAO (likely tax-related) and one grant to a newly appointed director. No open-market buys or discretionary sales; no clustered selling that would signal concern.

Name

Title

Transaction Type

Value / Shares

Transaction Date

Note

Ronald J. Oscher

Chief Administrative Officer

Disposition (Code J)

39,954 shares disposed; 2,887 shares remaining

May 27, 2026

Code J = non-open-market transaction (likely tax withholding or equity plan settlement); not a discretionary sale. Not bearish.

Nick L. Stanage

Director (newly appointed)

Acquisition (Code A — Grant)

760 shares acquired; 760 shares owned

May 7, 2026

Initial director equity grant upon appointment; routine and expected. Positive alignment signal.

Source: Insider Transaction Data (SEC Form 4 filings). No open-market buys or discretionary sales were filed in the period. The absence of insider selling ahead of a transformative acquisition announcement is consistent with normal pre-announcement blackout protocols.

7. Peer Commentary: Current-Quarter Read-Throughs (Q2 2026)

Key Takeaway: Peer commentary from Q2 2026 earnings calls (reported July 23–July 31) is broadly positive for AMETEK’s key end markets — aerospace & defense, process instrumentation, power/data center, and medical — with multiple peers raising full-year guidance. The most relevant read-throughs come from Eaton (power/A&D), Dover (A&D components, process), IDEX (instrumentation, semiconductor, life sciences), Crane (A&D, process), and Graco (industrial/semiconductor). Nordson (reported May 21) provides an earlier-quarter read on semiconductor and medical trends.

Methodology: Only commentary from the last 60 days (June 3 – August 3, 2026) that addresses Q2 2026 conditions, current-quarter demand, or forward outlook communicated after peers’ last earnings is included. Commentary solely about prior-quarter results without forward relevance is excluded.

Eaton Corporation (ETN) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 31, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Positive for AME’s Aerospace & Defense and Power end markets.

Dover Corporation (DOV) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 23, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Positive for AME’s A&D components, process instrumentation, and biopharma end markets.

IDEX Corporation (IEX) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 29, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Positive for AME’s instrumentation, semiconductor, data center, and life sciences end markets.

Crane Company (CR) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 29, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Positive for AME’s Aerospace & Defense and process flow end markets.

Graco Inc. (GGG) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 23, 2026

Read-Through Direction: PositiveMixed for broader short-cycle industrial.

Ingersoll Rand (IR) — Q2 2026 Earnings Call, July 31, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Mixed for AME’s process and industrial end markets; positive for life sciences.

Nordson Corporation (NDSN) — Q2 FY2026 Earnings Call, May 21, 2026

Read-Through Direction: Positive for AME’s semiconductor, medical, and industrial automation end markets. (Note: Nordson’s fiscal Q2 ended April 30, 2026; commentary addresses conditions during AMETEK’s Q2 2026 reporting period and forward outlook.)

Peer Commentary Summary Table

Peer

Report Date

Key AME End Markets

Read-Through

Key Signal

Eaton (ETN)

July 31, 2026

A&D, Power/Data Center

Positive

A&D book-to-bill 1.2x; raised organic growth guide +200 bps; data center demand accelerating

Dover (DOV)

July 23, 2026

A&D components, Process, Biopharma

Positive

Orders +16% YoY; book-to-bill 1.06x; A&D demand outpacing supply; biopharma strong

IDEX (IEX)

July 29, 2026

Instrumentation, Semiconductor, Life Sciences

Positive

Orders +28% organic; HST +47%; short-cycle inflecting positive in June/July; life sciences improving

Crane (CR)

July 29, 2026

A&D, Process Flow

Positive

A&D core growth +13%; record backlog; missile demand 4-5x expansion by decade-end; process H2 inflection

Graco (GGG)

July 23, 2026

Semiconductor, Industrial

Positive / Mixed

Semiconductor bookings +58%; industrial orders improving but still mixed; IIPA refunds a tailwind

Ingersoll Rand (IR)

July 31, 2026

Process, Life Sciences, Industrial

Mixed

Short-cycle improving; long-cycle delayed but recovering; life sciences strong; China pricing a mild caution

Nordson (NDSN)

May 21, 2026

Semiconductor, Medical, Automation

Positive

Record sales; backlog +18% organic; semiconductor ‘early stages’; medical returning to 6-8% normalized growth

8. Key Questions for the Q2 2026 Earnings Call

Key Takeaway: The call will be dominated by Indicor acquisition details — purchase price, financial profile, and updated guidance — but investors will also scrutinize whether Q1’s record order momentum was sustained through June and whether management’s tariff offset confidence held in practice.

  1. Indicor Acquisition — Financial Details & Updated Guidance: What is the purchase price, revenue run-rate, and EBITDA margin of the Indicor instrumentation businesses? Is the deal accretive or dilutive to FY 2026 EPS, and by how much? What is the expected closing date? How does management plan to delever from the ~3–4x gross leverage implied by the $7.5B credit facilities, and over what timeframe?
  2. Q2 Orders — Did the Record Momentum Continue? Q1 2026 organic orders were up 22% YoY (record $2.2B). Did Q2 sustain double-digit organic order growth, or did the comparison base and macro uncertainty cause deceleration? Was the book-to-bill above 1.0x? Did EIG orders continue to inflect positively after Q1’s 25% organic order growth?
  3. Organic Growth Trajectory — Process & EIG: Process organic sales were up low-single digits in Q1. Did the momentum continue in Q2, and is management still comfortable with the low-to-mid single-digit full-year process guide? What is the EIG organic growth rate in Q2 (Q1 was only +2% organic despite strong orders)?
  4. Margin Performance — Core Incrementals & IIPA Tariff Refunds: Q1 core incrementals were above 50%. Did Q2 maintain similar leverage? Did AMETEK receive any IIPA tariff refunds in Q2 (as peers Eaton, Dover, IDEX, Graco all did), and if so, how are they being treated in adjusted results?
  5. FY 2026 Guidance Update: Will management raise the FY 2026 EPS range above $7.94–$8.14 to reflect Q2 performance and/or Indicor contribution? What is the updated organic sales growth expectation for the full year?
  6. Balance Sheet & Capital Allocation Post-Indicor: With gross leverage stepping up materially, what is the priority for free cash flow — debt repayment or continued bolt-on M&A? Is the $5B+ M&A capacity statement still valid, or has Indicor effectively consumed the near-term M&A budget?
  7. China & Geopolitical Exposure: China was up high-teens in Q1 (process and power). Did this momentum continue in Q2, or did geopolitical uncertainty and trade policy create headwinds? What is the current status of the ~$15M in Middle East orders that did not ship in Q1?
  8. First Aviation Services — Closing Status: Has the First Aviation Services acquisition closed? What is the initial revenue and margin contribution, and how is it integrating with AMETEK’s existing MRO businesses?

Disclosures & Data Sources

This document is prepared for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. All financial data is sourced from the following: