{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Adj. EPS (Diluted Operating)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "actual $1.89 vs cons $1.87",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "U.S. Oil Production (Mbpd)",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "actual 123.5 vs cons 121.7",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Free Cash Flow",
      "prediction": "IN-LINE",
      "answer": "actual $738M vs cons $734M",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY 2026 U.S. Oil Production (Mbpd)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide 123K vs cons 122.7K",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY 2026 Lease Operating Expense",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide $1.50B vs cons $1.503B",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY 2026 Upstream Capex",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide $2.07B vs cons $2.147B",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Exit Run-Rate Cost Savings (FY 2026)",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide $500M vs prior $450M target",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 4.5,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 8.0,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "FOLLOW-THROUGH \u2014 sell-side revisions lift FY EPS on oil raise + LOE cut + capex trim; Waha resolution removes key bear thesis; short cover bid sustains momentum",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}