APA Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-06

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APA Report Adjusted diluted EPS IN-LINE reported $1.89 vs. cons $1.87 HIGH
APA Report Free cash flow IN-LINE reported $738M vs. cons $734M HIGH
APA Report U.S. oil production BEAT reported 123.5 Mbo/d vs. guide 121.0 Mbo/d HIGH
APA Guide FY26 U.S. oil production BETTER guide 123.0 Mbo/d vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
APA Guide FY26 upstream capital LOWER guide $2.07B vs. cons $2.15B total capex, non-like-for-like LOW
APA Guide FY26 exit run-rate savings BETTER guide $500M vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
APA Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% LOW
APA Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — call confirms H2 oil/cost improvement without renewed Waha curtailments LOW