APP Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APP Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.98B vs. cons $1.94B MEDIUM
APP Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.67B vs. cons $1.63B MEDIUM
APP Report Adjusted EBITDA margin IN-LINE pred ~84.3% vs. cons 84.0% MEDIUM
APP Guide 3Q26 revenue guidance BETTER guide ~$2.11B vs. cons $2.07B (3Q26) MEDIUM
APP Guide 3Q26 adjusted EBITDA guidance BETTER guide ~$1.77B vs. cons $1.74B (3Q26) MEDIUM
APP Guide 3Q26 adjusted EBITDA margin guidance UNCHANGED guide ~84.0% vs. cons 84.0% (3Q26) MEDIUM
APP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +7.5% MEDIUM
APP Return 5-day cumulative residual +10.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) The ~$40M revenue beat versus ~$1.94B consensus and ~$30M EBITDA beat versus ~$1.63B consensus, combined with 3Q26 revenue guidance of ~$2.11B versus ~$2.07B consensus, should drive upward out-period revenue and EBITDA revisions rather than leave investors focused on a one-quarter beat. MEDIUM