APP Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APP Report Total Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,990M vs. cons $1,946.6M MEDIUM
APP Report Adj. EBITDA (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,690M vs. cons $1,645.5M MEDIUM
APP Report Adj. EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~84.9% vs. cons 84.5% HIGH
APP Guide Revenue (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~$2,085M vs. cons ~$2,075M MEDIUM
APP Guide Consumer Vertical Commentary (qualitative) BETTER positive self-serve onboarding color vs. vague market expectations MEDIUM
APP Guide FY 2026 Revenue (implied) BETTER ~$8,290M implied vs. cons $8,247M LOW
APP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -1.5% MEDIUM
APP Return 5-day cumulative residual +3.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — de-rated setup and platform opening catalyst offset the typical Archetype B post-beat fade; guide is not a true raise so no revision wave MEDIUM