APP Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APP Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$1.970B vs. cons $1.947B MEDIUM
APP Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$1.673B vs. cons $1.645B MEDIUM
APP Report Adjusted EBITDA Margin IN-LINE pred ~84.9% vs. cons 84.53% MEDIUM
APP Guide Revenue (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$2.10B-$2.14B vs. cons $2.083B MEDIUM
APP Guide Adjusted EBITDA (Q3 2026) BETTER guide ~$1.77B-$1.81B vs. cons $1.754B MEDIUM
APP Guide Margin / AXON onboarding (Q3 2026) UNCHANGED guide ~84%-85% vs. cons 84.22%; constructive onboarding commentary MEDIUM
APP Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +8.0% LOW
APP Return 5-day cumulative residual +6.0% (STABILIZE) STABILIZE — modest A, de-rated setup LOW