APTV Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
APTV Report Adjusted EPS (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~$1.46 vs. cons $1.42 MEDIUM
APTV Report Net Sales (Q2'26, New Aptiv pro forma) IN-LINE pred ~$3.32B vs. cons $3.30B MEDIUM
APTV Report Adjusted EBITDA Margin (Q2'26) BEAT pred ~17.9% vs. cons 17.6% MEDIUM
APTV Guide FY2026 Adjusted EPS UNCHANGED guide ~$5.85-6.10 ($5.95 mid) vs. cons $5.90 (FY2026) MEDIUM
APTV Guide FY2026 Net Sales UNCHANGED guide ~$12.9-13.2B ($13.05B mid) vs. cons $13.0B (FY2026) MEDIUM
APTV Guide FY2026 Bookings (>$20B target / non-auto mix) BETTER guide ~$20.5B vs. cons $20.0B (FY2026) LOW
APTV Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.8% MEDIUM
APTV Return 5-day cumulative residual +0.4% (FADE) A modest EPS/margin beat with reaffirmed (not raised) FY guidance gives an initial relief pop given how bearish the sequential revenue optics looked, but with 19/20 already Buy-rated and a 38% implied upside already priced for the NVIDIA/edge-AI thesis, there's limited room for further re-rating unless China inflection and bookings beat prove durable; H2 stranded-cost drag (~$100M in Q2) and continued commodity/FX headwinds mean sell-side models likely trim out-period (Q3/Q4) EBITDA margin assumptions even after a Q2 beat, pulling the multi-day drift back toward flat. LOW