ATO Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
ATO Report Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.30 vs. cons $1.28 MEDIUM
ATO Report Operating income BEAT pred ~$292m vs. cons $286m MEDIUM
ATO Report Operating revenue BEAT pred ~$925m vs. cons $902m LOW
ATO Guide FY26 diluted EPS guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$8.45 midpoint vs. cons $8.45 midpoint (FY26) HIGH
ATO Guide FY26 capital-expenditure plan UNCHANGED guide ~$4.20bn vs. cons $4.20bn (FY26) HIGH
ATO Guide Texas Rule 7.7102 pretax benefit UNCHANGED guide ~$160m vs. cons $160m (FY26) MEDIUM
ATO Guide APT through-system contribution UNCHANGED guide ~$0.10 EPS vs. cons $0.10 EPS (2H FY26) MEDIUM
ATO Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +1.2% MEDIUM
ATO Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.5% (STABILIZE) A ~$1.30 EPS result versus $1.28 consensus and intact regulatory/APT commentary support a modest initial gain, but unchanged ~$8.45 FY26 midpoint guidance versus $8.45 consensus leaves FY27 out-period EPS math broadly intact rather than driving material estimate revisions. MEDIUM