AXON Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AXON Report Q2 2026 Revenue BEAT pred ~$895M vs. cons $883M MEDIUM
AXON Report Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$225M vs. cons $221M MEDIUM
AXON Report Q2 2026 Non-GAAP Diluted EPS BEAT pred ~$1.86 vs. cons $1.79 MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY 2026 Revenue Guidance BETTER guide ~$3.64B-$3.70B vs. cons $3.67B (FY 2026) MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY 2026 Adjusted EBITDA Margin Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~25.5% vs. cons 25.5% (FY 2026) HIGH
AXON Guide FY 2026 Free Cash Flow Guidance UNCHANGED guide ~$450M vs. cons $455M (FY 2026) MEDIUM
AXON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +2.5% MEDIUM
AXON Return 5-day cumulative residual +4.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) Revenue and EBITDA beats of ~$12M and ~$4M, respectively, paired with a FY revenue-guide upper-end increase to ~$3.70B versus ~$3.67B consensus, should support modest positive FY and 2027 estimate revisions despite unchanged ~25.5% EBITDA-margin guidance and continued mix pressure. MEDIUM