AXON Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AXON Report Revenue (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$905M vs. cons $876M MEDIUM
AXON Report ARR (Q2 2026) BEAT pred ~$1,640M vs. cons $1,589M MEDIUM
AXON Report Adj. EBITDA Margin (Q2 2026) IN-LINE pred ~25.3% vs. cons 25.2% MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY 2026 Revenue (FY) BETTER guide ~$3,740M midpoint vs. cons $3,674M MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY 2026 Adj. EBITDA Margin (FY) UNCHANGED guide ~25.5% vs. cons 25.6% HIGH
AXON Guide FY 2026 FCF (FY) UNCHANGED guide ~$450M reaffirmed vs. cons $457M HIGH
AXON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +4.0% MEDIUM
AXON Return 5-day cumulative residual +8.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — sell-side raises Q3/Q4 on FY guide raise; partial reset in run-in supports follow-through but absolute multiple caps upside vs. historical Archetype A median MEDIUM