AXON Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-05

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
AXON Report Revenue BEAT pred ~$890M vs. cons $875.9M MEDIUM
AXON Report Adjusted diluted EPS IN-LINE pred ~$1.80 vs. cons $1.78 MEDIUM
AXON Report ARR IN-LINE pred ~$1.600B vs. cons $1.589B MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY26 revenue growth UNCHANGED guide ~30%-32% / ~$3.66B vs. cons $3.674B MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY26 adjusted EBITDA margin UNCHANGED guide ~25.5% vs. cons ~25.6% MEDIUM
AXON Guide FY26 bookings / demand commentary UNCHANGED guide ~healthy but lumpy/back-half weighted vs. cons UNVERIFIED LOW
AXON Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.0% LOW
AXON Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.0% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FOLLOW-THROUGH — implicit Q4 de-risking pressures revisions LOW