{
  "report_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "Comparable diluted EPS",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$1.03 vs. cons $0.99",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Comparable operating earnings",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~$430M vs. cons $424M",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Global aluminum-packaging shipment growth",
      "prediction": "BEAT",
      "answer": "pred ~4.8% vs. cons 3.8%",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "guide_rows": [
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 comparable diluted EPS growth",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~10.0%+ vs. cons 10.5% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "FY2026 free cash flow",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$900M+ vs. cons $920M (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "North America start-up and end-domestication costs",
      "prediction": "UNCHANGED",
      "answer": "guide ~$35M vs. cons $35M (2H2026)",
      "confidence": "HIGH"
    },
    {
      "kpi": "Enterprise beverage-volume growth",
      "prediction": "BETTER",
      "answer": "guide ~2.7% vs. cons 2.3% (FY2026)",
      "confidence": "MEDIUM"
    }
  ],
  "day1_residual_pct": 3.1,
  "day1_confidence": "MEDIUM",
  "day5_residual_pct": 4.6,
  "day5_path": "FOLLOW-THROUGH",
  "day5_rationale": "A ~4.8% shipment result versus 3.8% consensus and a ~$1.03 EPS result versus $0.99 support modest FY2026 estimate revisions even if the formal 10.0%+ EPS-growth and $900M+ FCF guide are reiterated.",
  "day5_confidence": "MEDIUM"
}