BKNG Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
BKNG Report Room nights IN-LINE pred ~318M vs. cons 317M MEDIUM
BKNG Report Gross bookings IN-LINE pred ~$49.3B vs. cons $49.0B MEDIUM
BKNG Report Adjusted EBITDA BEAT pred ~$2.61B vs. cons $2.55B MEDIUM
BKNG Guide 3Q26 room-night growth LOWER guide ~1%–3% vs. cons 4.5% (3Q26) MEDIUM
BKNG Guide 3Q26 gross-bookings growth LOWER guide ~3%–5% vs. cons 7.0% (3Q26) MEDIUM
BKNG Guide 3Q26 revenue growth LOWER guide ~3%–5% vs. cons 6.5% (3Q26) MEDIUM
BKNG Guide 3Q26 adjusted EBITDA LOWER guide ~$3.86B–$3.94B vs. cons $4.05B (3Q26) MEDIUM
BKNG Guide FY26 adjusted EPS LOWER guide ~$8.65–$8.95 vs. cons $9.15 (FY26) MEDIUM
BKNG Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -8.0% MEDIUM
BKNG Return 5-day cumulative residual -10.5% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) A modest 2Q26 EBITDA beat (~$2.61B vs. ~$2.55B) is outweighed by a 3Q26 EBITDA guide (~$3.90B midpoint vs. $4.05B consensus) and FY26 adjusted-EPS reset (~$8.80 midpoint vs. $9.15 consensus); out-period estimate cuts should continue after an initial ~-8.0% residual reaction toward ~-10.5% over five days. MEDIUM