| CAT |
Report |
Adjusted EPS |
BEAT |
pred ~$6.35 vs. cons $6.25 |
HIGH |
| CAT |
Report |
Total Revenue |
BEAT |
pred ~$19.5B vs. cons $19.3B |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Report |
Resource Industries operating margin |
MISS |
pred ~11.0% vs. cons ~12.5% |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Guide |
FY2026 revenue growth guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~mid-teens vs. cons low-double-digits (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Guide |
FY2026 tariff cost guidance |
BETTER |
guide ~$2.0-2.2B vs. cons $2.2-2.4B (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Guide |
FY2026 adjusted operating margin positioning |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~near bottom of target range vs. cons near bottom of target range (FY2026) |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Guide |
2030 Enterprise Revenue CAGR / Power Gen 3x target |
UNCHANGED |
guide ~6-9% CAGR vs. cons 6-9% CAGR (2030 target reaffirmed) |
LOW |
| CAT |
Return |
Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) |
+4.0% |
— |
MEDIUM |
| CAT |
Return |
5-day cumulative residual |
+2.0% (FADE) |
Headline EPS/revenue beat plus reaffirmed 2030 power-gen targets should spark an initial relief rally given the stock's 22% pullback and reset expectations, but Resource Industries margin still lagging on tariffs, no incremental step-up in tariff guidance beyond already-known Section 122 relief, and lingering Baird-style regulatory overhang on data-center backlog durability mean analysts are likely to trim out-period margin/EPS estimates even as top-line numbers get bumped up, causing the initial pop to partially fade over the following days rather than build into sustained follow-through. |
LOW |