CAT Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CAT Report Adjusted EPS (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$6.35 vs. cons $6.20 MEDIUM
CAT Report Sales and revenues (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$19.45B vs. cons $19.20B MEDIUM
CAT Report Power & Energy sales (2026Q2) BEAT pred ~$8.42B vs. cons $8.30B MEDIUM
CAT Guide Sales and revenues growth LOWER guide ~12.0% vs. cons 13.2% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CAT Guide Adjusted operating profit margin LOWER guide ~18.2% vs. cons 18.4% (FY2026) MEDIUM
CAT Guide Tariff costs UNCHANGED guide ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.30B (FY2026) HIGH
CAT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) -4.8% MEDIUM
CAT Return 5-day cumulative residual -7.2% (FOLLOW-THROUGH) FY2026 sales growth of ~12.0% vs. consensus 13.2% would imply only ~6% H2 growth after roughly ~19% H1 growth; that out-period deceleration and capacity-investment drag should prompt 2027–2028 estimate cuts despite the quarterly beat. MEDIUM