CAT Earnings Predictions — 2026-08-04

Ticker Report or Guide KPI Prediction Answer Confidence
CAT Report Adjusted EPS BEAT pred ~$6.40 vs. cons $6.25 MEDIUM
CAT Report Sales and revenues BEAT pred ~$19.45B vs. cons $19.20B MEDIUM
CAT Report Power & Energy sales BEAT pred ~$8.20B vs. cons $7.95B MEDIUM
CAT Guide FY2026 sales and revenues outlook BETTER guide ~$68.20B vs. cons $67.60B (FY2026) MEDIUM
CAT Guide FY2026 adjusted operating margin outlook BETTER guide ~18.6% vs. cons 18.5% (FY2026) LOW
CAT Guide MP&E free-cash-flow outlook LOWER guide ~$10.00B vs. cons $10.80B (FY2026) MEDIUM
CAT Guide Tariff-cost outlook UNCHANGED guide ~$2.30B vs. cons $2.30B (FY2026) HIGH
CAT Guide Total backlog / Power & Energy demand commentary BETTER guide ~$69.00B vs. cons $67.00B (2Q2026 exit) LOW
CAT Return Day-1 residual (stock − beta × S&P 500) +3.0% MEDIUM
CAT Return 5-day cumulative residual +1.0% (FADE) A ~$0.15 EPS beat versus $6.25 consensus and Power & Energy strength should support an initial positive reaction, but the implied FY2026 free-cash-flow outlook of ~$10.00B versus $10.80B consensus and only modest full-year margin uplift leave limited out-period EPS-revision support after the first-day move. MEDIUM